CPI FORECAST
Fresh fruits and vegetables: USDA food price forecast
All food › Food at home › Fruits and vegetables › Fresh fruits and vegetables
USDA ERS forecasts Fresh fruits and vegetables to change between 2.9% and 5% (midpoint 3.9%) in 2026.
USDA ERS forecasts Fresh fruits and vegetables to change between -4.9% and 8.2% (midpoint 1.4%) in 2027.
A forecast interval is a range. The midpoint is the centre of that range, not a promise about what will happen.
Forecast and history for Fresh fruits and vegetables
| ERS label | Value |
|---|---|
| Lower bound of forecast interval 2026 | 2.9% |
| Midpoint of forecast interval 2026 | 3.9% |
| Upper bound of forecast interval 2026 | 5% |
| Lower bound of forecast interval 2027 | -4.9% |
| Midpoint of forecast interval 2027 | 1.4% |
| Upper bound of forecast interval 2027 | 8.2% |
| Relative importance | 7.5% |
| Month-to-month July 2026 to August 2026 | -0.6% |
| Year-over-year August 2025 to August 2026 | 3.1% |
| Year-to-date avg. 2026 to avg. 2025 | 3.8% |
| Annual 2024 | 0.7% |
| Annual 2025 | 0.3% |
| 20-year historical average | 1.7% |
Track record: past forecasts compared with the final figure
For each past year that has a final annual figure in the data, this table shows the forecast ERS made in the first month available for that year and the final published value for the year. Both columns are read from the previously published estimates record.
| Year | First forecast available | Forecast (%) | Final (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | July 2020 | 0.5 to 1.5 | 3.3 |
| 2022 | July 2021 | 1.5 to 2.5 | 7.5 |
| 2023 | July 2022 | -0.5 to 0.5 | 0.8 |
| 2024 | July 2023 | 0 | 0.7 |
Years shown: 2021 to 2024 (4 years in the record for this category).
Source records: changes-in-consumer-price-indexes-2024-through-2027, consumer-price-index-cpi-forecasts-previously-published-estimates, from the USDA Economic Research Service Food Price Outlook. Figures cover August 2026. Data fetched 2026-09-28.